If Russia uses the same tactics in the Ukraine as it did in Georgia

If Russia uses the same tactics in the Ukraine as it did in Georgia, that is to issue passports to citizens with a Russian heritage before invading, then Crimea may be the bate in an eloborate trap set for the Russian Navy.

Crimea is defendable, only if Russia controls it’s southern flank ( the Roki Tunnel in Georgia ). And that strategy requires a Navy. Modern warfare follows a pattern of deployment in increasingly larger theaters, allowing for testing and training of the forces as the strategy develops. Coordination of land and sea elements is a must if Russia’s goal is to regain control of Eastern Europe. If Crimea is a the second stage of such a strategy, Russia must know it cannot be supported by air power alone and will depend heavily on seaports in Georgia.  

Russians may be enigmatic, their policies may be paradoxical and they may speak in riddles…but their actions are obvious and simple to counter. Let the Russian Navy in, and don’t let them out of their little pond. The following is self-evidence of Russian intentions.

Vienna, September 23 – Under the terms of new legislation nominally intended to promote the repatriation of “Russian compatriots” and thus help solve Russia’s demographic problems, Moscow can now offer Russian Federation citizenship to more than eight million Ukrainians, even though the Ukrainian constitution prohibits dual citizenship.

Window on Eurasia: Moscow Can Now Offer Russian Citizenship to Eight Million Ukrainians.